Most equities advanced last week mostly thanks to central bank largesse in Japan and the U.S. Economic data were mixed including those released in the U.S. including jobless claims and retail sales. The new week begins with China’s gross domestic product for the first quarter along with March industrial production and retail sales. Bank of England watchers will parse the minutes of its meeting held earlier this month. With a split vote in the Monetary Policy Committee, watchers will look to see if those who would like to see increased quantitative easing are winning any converts to their position.

We are traders and masters of risk. When you become pro you stop over analysing and all you do is sit there, and wait, and wait, and wait some more until you find the perfect trade. What I am saying is that the market makes all the decisions. Our only decision is to listen, feel, and respond to the market’s siren. Always and without exception. Remember, the market never lies. It is only we who lie to ourselves.
Sunday, April 14, 2013
Sunday, April 7, 2013
Looking Ahead: April 8 through April 12, 2013
Three central banks preferred to keep their respective monetary policies unchanged, but the Bank of Japan startled investors by introducing a more expansive stimulus package than most anticipated. Economic data were mostly disappointing, especially data from the Eurozone. U.S. employment data also disappointed. Perhaps employers were holding back thanks to the looming sequester than lingered throughout the month.
This week is expected to be slower and calmer than last week even with the earnings season beginning in the U.S. Most data releases revolve around industrial output and merchandise trade. China begins releasing its spate of March economic data including consumer and producer price indexes and international trade.
Sunday, March 31, 2013
Looking Ahead: April 1 through April 5, 2013
Front and center last week were the crises in Cyprus and Italy. While Cyprus agreed to a restructured bailout package, the political impasse in Italy remains with no solution in sight.
The Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England and European Central Bank announce their respective monetary policy decisions. However, the focus will be on the Bank of Japan and the first announcement from new governor Haruhiko Kuroda. Expectations are high for aggressive moves to finally hoist the economy from its malaise and defeat the over 15 years of deflation. Elsewhere, investors will be monitoring the plethora of purchasing managers’ indexes globally but especially from China, the Eurozone and the U.S. The week draws to an end with the U.S. employment situation report.
Sunday, March 24, 2013
Looking Ahead: March 25 through March 29, 2013
The turmoil over Cyprus trumped economic news including the FOMC announcement on Wednesday. At this writing, negotiations continue in an attempt to reach a package by Monday — the day the ECB said it will stop supporting Cyprus. The Federal Reserve left its policy unchanged. Economic data for Europe disappointed but did not for the U.S.
The last week of the month brings its usual spate of new economic data especially from Japan. February unemployment, consumer prices, industrial output and consumer spending are on the calendar. It is also the last week of the first quarter of 2013 and the end of Japan’s fiscal year.
Sunday, March 17, 2013
Looking Ahead: March 18 through March 22, 2013
While economic data from the UK and Europe were weaker than expected, most U.S. data improved. The Swiss National Bank, Reserve Bank of New Zealand and the Bank of Korea left their respective monetary policies unchanged. Data from China showed that inflation picked up while increases in output and retail sales disappointed.
The data highlights for this week will be flash manufacturing PMIs from China, the Eurozone, France, Germany and the United States. The Federal Reserve holds a two day meeting to be followed by the Fed President’s quarterly press conference.
Monday, March 11, 2013
Looking Ahead: March 11 through March 15, 2013
Five of the major central banks met — all left their respective monetary policies unchanged as expected. Data were mixed but there were promising improvements in China’s exports, Japan’s GDP and U.S. employment.
Data next week focuses on merchandise trade and industrial production data for the most part. Australia’s labour force survey will be parsed carefully by equity and foreign exchange markets. The U.S. begins daylight savings time on Sunday, March 10, 2013.
Monday, March 4, 2013
Looking Ahead: March 4 through March 8, 2013
U.S. sequestration and an Italian election didn't rattle the international markets which were buoyed by comments from ECB President Mario Draghi as well as Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. Economic data were mixed to disappointing in Japan, Europe and the UK.
This week brings five major central bank meetings — Reserve Bank of Australia, Banks of Japan, Canada and England and the European Central Bank. Canada and the U.S. will release their employment reports while Australia’s fourth quarter growth data are expected. Global service sector PMIs — the counterparts of those for manufacturing — will provide a snap shot of what is by far the largest part of the global economy.
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